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Are You The Source Of Alpha For Your Competitors’ Portfolios?
2019 Market Outlook
November 20, 2019
Surprise! An investor’s ability to make superior forecasts is not enough, if their portfolio is to deliver positive alpha.
“Most portfolio decision makers should go out of business – take up plumbing, teach Greek or help produce the annual GNP by serving as corporate executives.” This was the opinion of Paul Samuelson back in 1974. The debate around the value provided by active management is not new and will most probably continue to rage in various guises over time. It has become even more vigorous in today’s low-return environment, where the growth in portfolio market values is not enough to soften the impact of portfolio management fees. What often goes unsaid during these debates is the impact that poor benchmark design and inappropriate risk budgeting has on the performance of active managers.
Modern portfolio theory states that, in the long run, investors should expect to be rewarded for taking on more market risk. For example, in the long run investors should expect a higher return (risk premium) for investing in equities and not cash. Unfortunately, the same relationship does not hold when it comes to active risk. Active risk is the process of building an investment portfolio where the weights of the individual securities are different from the market.
Ndina Rabali, Teboho Tsotetsi, and Bhekinkosi Khuzwayo
Lima Mbeu Investment Managers (Pty) Ltd is an authorised financial services provider in terms of section 8 of the Financial Advisory and Intermediary Act, 2002, FSP number 49018, Registration No 2017/399814/07. This document is for information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. The information contained herein is derived from sources which are believed to be reliable. Any opinion expressed herein is based on the presenter’s current analysis and is subject to change. This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any security. Lima Mbeu has a conflict of interest policy which outlines how conflicts of interest are managed. This policy, as well as additional information about Lima Mbeu’s products, is readily available upon request or on our website: www.limambeu.co.za
For more information, contact Ndina Rabali: Email: ndina.rabali@limambeu.co.za
Tel: 010 023 0113; Address: Fredman Towers, 13 Fredman Drive, Sandton, 2196
